Talk:Headdress/@comment-36588080-20181221121015/@comment-31715604-20181221152601

Not so much starting. I'll give you a brief history and my predictions.

Hds skyrocketed, going higher and higher every year, until people started duplicating them in spring 2017. They plummeted during the duping (lphds would go for as little as a single black long) and then went back up, but never regained their former glory. After that they were stable for a while but had definitely decreased. I think at first lp was 20 black, blue was 16, etc. Then people starting duping again. Lp slowly went down black long by black long, and the others did too. When I got a black hd in february 2018, it was worth 12 black. I also traded under for a blue the next month and I think that was when they really started going down. All summer hds dropped, and by may (I think) people were panicking, trying to trade them down, and taking serious unders. I believe this was due to the steadiness and increasing demand of variety items, so everyone tried to trade hds at once and they crashed. They just kept going down, and I think their low so far was last month.

Now, I don't see people trying to trade down hds as much. Variety is going down, and rn the 'popular' items mostly seem to be den betas, which are really hard to profit from now. Spikes are also higher demand, but they pretty much always have been. Rim hds have dropped in demand, but reading comments on this page, there are fewer comments trying to get rid of hds and more offering for them. This to me signals that hds have passed their low and will rise. They may not ever get back to the pre-duping values, but I think they're gonna go up. If you want to trade under for one, this month and next are probably your last chance.

I could be wrong but I've been here long enough to sense the patterns of changing demand, and lately I've been predicting right.